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Prof Levy’s SAVM model predicts 4.7 million life-years saved, and 300,000 deaths avoided by 2060

In Germany’s population of 84 million, 1 in 4 people still smoke cigarettes. According to their ministry of health, smoking is the biggest preventable cause of death and disease in Germany. Meanwhile, there is mounting evidence that nicotine vaping products are significantly less harmful than combusted tobacco, and provide a viable escape route for smokers who want to quit, but can’t.

What would happen if Germany’s smokers switched to less harmful nicotine vaping products? At the No Smoke Summit in September 2021, Prof David Levy from Georgetown University explained with reference to his newly developed SAVM simulation model – 4.7 million life years saved, and 300,000 deaths avoided by 2060.



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